The stimulus won’t cause inflation.

The stimulus won’t inflate the economy because it’s not going to be in the economy very long. Let me give you an example: if you have a car that break down, and I lend you my car for the year the total number of cars has been inflated right? Only until I get my car back and then it’s the same number of cars. That’s how the stimulus works.

How many people do you know that actually save their money? They don’t, they spend it. What happens when people spend the money? it’s taxed and the government collects the money via sales tax. If people have more money to spend, they’ll spend more money and the government will collect more in taxes.

It’s the same principal in cutting taxes: if you cut taxes people will have more money to spend, so they’ll buy more things and the government will collect more money via sales tax revenue. Same thing.

For example: my dad got his stimulus and bought a new pair of boots, and went and got a tune up, both sales are taxed, so the government gets the stimulus money back via sales tax. After the businesses makes the transaction they tax the extra revenue and spend it, and whatever they spend it on will eventually get taxed, rinse and repeat until the $1,200 check is returned to the government via revenue for the government via taxes.

This doesn’t mean we can give out an unlimited amount – there’s limits probably around $6,000 a year per person without adding any significant new taxes, but $1,200 isn’t anything too significant and most of it will be gone by next year anyway.

2.2T isn’t all that much, our GDP is nearly 20T a year, we’ve spent more in Afghanistan and Iraq 2.4T; we’ve spent more two months ago 2.7T trying to keep the stock market from crumbling which failed, and all that money is gone, if anything will cause inflation it’ll be that 2.7T that we won’t see again. Nobody asked whether either of those would cause inflation and nobody cared that both of those are going into pointless money holes, but now when our citizens are getting money that is suddenly awful? No.

Think of it as a tax break for corporations being funneled through the lower class. Trickle up economics. There’s been a lot of tax breaks for wealthy people, at least we’re getting a slice of the pie.

How to build an NFL team in 6 seasons? Quite simple – The hint: Save for the future

So you’re a struggling mediocre NFL franchise who wants to win it big (I’m looking at you browns) – Here’s your guide on how to do just that.

First you need some money to hire the best staff around, a large number of highly qualified people. The great thing is staff provide a tremendous benefit and don’t have a cap, so hire as many college and nfl guys as you can. I’m talking enough scouts to get a full review of every single player in high school football down to D5. Get info from colleges, then you’re going to follow this class and the next two through college.

Second you want to start a fire sale, sell everything in exchange for picks, I don’t care if it’s a mouthpiece – if you can get a pick for it, do it. This includes taking on overpaid contracts for picks, remember the Brock osweiler trade? Or the Brandon cooks trade? Trades like that.

Sign those crazy charity cases, hoping you can flip them for picks: Ray rice? You get a 2nd chance; Antonio Brown come on down. These guys have something to prove so play them as hard as possible, and trade them when you can.

Sign a bunch of scrubs to fill out your roster – Tim Tebow? He’s back baby, playing running back – with a lot of Hb passes. These scrubs will play on minimum nfl contracts.

Hire a coach that knows how to loose – I’m looking at you hue Jackson, and let him go to work. Make sure he’s paid well too.

This will be a train wreck. But here’s your goal for the first 3 seasons. stay under cap, which you will due to the aforementioned scrubs on minimum contracts: the minimum salary for a 53 man roster is $26.5 million, plus let’s say $13.5 million for players like Antonio Brown, so $40 million a year is your player budget. Your second goal is to never draft a player during those first three years, trade every pick, even if the next Lawrence Taylor appears in the draft don’t fucking draft him.

Make sure the fans know that you’re tanking, make it clear.

Also move your francisé to a new city/build a new stadium and make it the biggest in the nfl.

Your first 3 years you will tank to the #1 overall pick, and you’ll trade it for 3 future 1st rounders, do this with every pick: ex a 7 for 3 future 7th rounders. Rinse and repeat.

The second draft you have two 1st rounders, trade both of them for 3 future 1st rounders, do this with every pick for 3 years.

I call this compounding picks, the same way as compounding interest, it’s fucking important and broken.

Let’s say you got an entire drafts worth of picks from your 2nd chance projects and shitty scrub players actually playing well. And you got 8 picks in each round from your past drafts – assuming you got 2 picks each time for trading down – and on top of that you have another full drafts worth of picks before your 4th year you have 70 picks in this upcoming draft: including 10 1st rounders and the #1 overall pick. Does this sound like madden, yes, and even though you may not get this number of picks, if you get more value each time you trade down then you would end up with a hell of a lot.

You also have one more advantage – Cap Space: Yes, I mean specifically you have only paid $40 million a year, and luckily the cap space rolls over; so if there’s an average of $200 million a year, you would add $160 million x3 or $480 million in emergency cap space. But they’re not going to spend this yet.

Here’s some rules for your first draft: Don’t draft Recievers or runningbacks in the first round, Focus on OL, DL, LB, DB in the first draft; Sign your players to very long contracts and pay good players early. The earlier the draft pick the better, anything after round 5 doesn’t matter, so we’re trading all of those picks for 2 extra 1st rounders, and all of our 3rd, 4th and 5th rounders for 3 extra 1st rounders. Why? Because first rounders are so much more valuable than any other round. So 15 1st rounders. Also if a player is a bust we trade him

If we’d followed this model in the 2014/15 draft we’d get:

1. Clowney DE Pro Bowl

2. Robinson Bust

3. Mack DE Hall of Fame

4. Matthews OT – Pro Bowl

5. Gilbert Bust

6. Anthony Barr Lb – Pro Bowl

7. Taylor Lewan OT – Pro Bowl

8. Aaron Donald DT – Hall of Fame

9. Kyle Fuller CB – Pro Bowl

10. Ryan Shazier LB – Pro Bowl

11. Zac Martin OG- Hall of Fame

12. CJ Mosley LB – Pro Bowl

13. Calvin Pryor Bust

14. Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix S – Pro Bowl

15. Dee Ford Dt – Pro Bowl

In our first season we drafted 3 hall of famers, 9 pro bowlers and 3 busts. This seems like it would get us a few more wins, but we’re tanking. Also I didn’t put second rounders down, because I’m too lazy so instead of going through 12 2nd rounders I’ll just do 4 extra 1st rounders next year. I’ll assume the average cap hit is $4 million per player or $60 million, this brings our emergency cap space to $580 million, a lot of money.

The next season here are our needs:

Qb

Rb

Wr

Wr

Wr

Te

Og

C

Lb

Cb

Cb

S

Here’s who we draft:

1. Famous Jameis Winston – QB Pro Bowl, on this team he will play to a pro bowl level

2. Amari Cooper – Wr Pro Bowl

3. Brandon Scheriff – OG Pro Bowl

4. Kevin White Wr Bust

5. Vic Beasley – LB Pro Bowl

6. Todd Gurley – RB Pro Bowl

7. Trae Waynes – CB Starter

8. Devonte Parker – WR Starter

9. Kevin Johnson – Cb Bust

10. Eric Flowers – OL Bust

11. Damirious Randall S – Starter

Since all of the teams needs are filled Picks 12-14 are going to be traded to next year.

Here’s our stats – 4 Pro bowlers, 3 starters and 3 busts $4 million a player is the average assumption for cap room, half of the scrub players are gone, and the three busts from last year are packaged for a future 1st, that’s none of our emergency cap gone. I’m also going to trade all other picks in next years draft r2-r7 for a first $580 million emergency cap left.

I assume a roster with 3 hall of famers and 12 pro bowlers would make the playoffs normally, but luckily we gave jameis 1 year to develop behind some old an like josh Mccown and tanked. We have 6 1st round picks and after trading away last years busts we have an extra pick.

Here’s our needs:

Wr

Te

C

Cb

1. We’re trading the 1st nfl draft pick for cash considerations, and a 3rd that’s right, someone can buy it for a cool $70 million out of their cap space, from a crappy team. That brings our total up to $650 million.

2. Jaylen Ramsey Cb – Hall of Fame

3. Ronnie Stanlie OL – Pro Bowl

4. Corey Coleman Wr – Bust

5. Austin Hooper Te – Pro Bowl (I needed to finally draft a Te of some kind)

That’s right we added a hall of famer, a pro bowler and a bust to our roster and + $58 million to the cap. That’s $638 million left. So now it’s time to pay out some contracts right? For the sake of simplicity I’ll assume ten years of success before the team breaks down to hell, so let’s give everyone 10 year contracts, and hire a new coach with a 10 year contract himself; say hello to Jon Gruden.

If everyone gets a positional average over 10 years here’s the breakdown by year:

Qb: 16 million

RB: 9 million

WR: 24 million (2 good recievers)

Te: 7 million

OL: 55 million (5 linemen)

DL: 48 million (4 linemen)

LB: 33 million (3 linebackers)

CB: 30 million (3 backs)

S: 16 million (2 safeties)

Reserves: 30 mkllion

That’s a total of $250 million a year

Plus let’s go out on the open market and trade for a good wide receiver as it’s our only new

$10 million onto the cap so $260 million, or $60 million over cap. This would be bad except for our emergency fund, if we divide it by $10 years we have an extra $65 million per year. After everything we still have $5 million a year in flexibility.

That’s 4 hall of famers, 14 pro bowlers (including the wr we traded for), 4 good starters and some decent backups locked up for 10 years to build chemistry. An average Super Bowl champion has 7 pro bowlers, and usually a hall of famer or two; we doubles that, we have quite possibly the greatest defense and offensive lines ever; especially defense – we can get 34 sacks a season rushing four, but we’ve got Vic Beasley so that’s 41, plus all other starters, around 50 just from our s

tarters, 4 sacks per game over the course of a decade.

A quick thought on Bill O’Brien

Y’all could’ve still signed Randall Cobb if you kept deandre Hopkins. Due to all the trading you guys have taken more cap on.

hell, if you really wanted an overpaid receiver like cooks you could’ve still had him without giving up deandre Hopkins also.

You could have this as a roster: Hopkins/Cooks/Fuller/Stills/Cobb as receivers.

But that’s too much of the cap! You say, the Texans spending $43 million on receivers/over 20% of the cap; in this instance; well too bad because that’s the exact same figure as if they are spending now including an injury prone David Johnson. Does anyone really think David Johnson is worth more than Deandre Hopkins.

Let’s say you want to cut the cap down a bit? Let’s make some trades: Goodbye Kenny stills, Goodbye Cooks and hello L’eveon Bell, take that 2nd you got from the Rams, package it up with another pick and there you go, two receivers and a few picks

Guess what? Deshaun Watson is due for a pay raise soon, and that’ll eat the last of the cap. So right now the players you have are going to get stuck on the roster, and BOB will have no flexibility. Stuck in cap and draft pick hell due to his bad decisions.

The Charging Rams: combining 2 NFL teams and expanding the league a hypothetical opinion scenario

Two LA football teams won’t work, not just because the chargers aren’t popular, but because the rams aren’t popular enough for the size of the city. Football just isn’t popular in LA and the league doesn’t like that – that’s a lot of potential revenue they’re loosing out on. Instead in my hypothetical opinion what they’ll do is combine the two LA teams into one – The Charging Rams.

Firstly the league will need to expand greatly – to 36 teams to keep things even. That means adding 5 new teams, but where should they be? Firstly I wanted Toronto to be a city, but I still think it’s premature to put a team overseas, so perhaps the bills could do like the jags and play a couple of games a year across the border and the Seahawks can do the same: 1 game in Vancouver and 1 game in Alaska.

Secondly I wanted to put some teams in places like St. Louis but honestly I think the XFL should fill that role – they should become the NFL Minor League; you can either go to college or sign a two year contract with the XFL and option to renew after two more years. At the end of the contract you are entered in the NFL draft and the XFL players get their own segment of the NFL combine.

The XFL would expand to 12 teams; one in Norfolk, Columbus, Orlando (where the pro bowl is currently played) and Omaha. The pro bowl would be moved to Hawaii again, but that’s a different convo.

Here’s the five teams I’ve picked: San Antonio to compete with Dallas and Houston. They get to play two neutral games inMexico City.

Salt Lake City: they’d rival perfectly well with Denver and los Vegas and would replace the chargers in the division.

Portland: Sponsored by Nike can – like the Seahawks – play 1 game in Vancouver and 1 game in Alaska; perhaps both against the Seahawks?

Sacramento – this is the new expansion team to balance out the California market since the raiders have left. They’ll cover Northern California.

Montreal – that’s right 3 nfl stadiums in Canada? Yup and one of them an nfl team. Take the CFL and incorporate it as an nfl minor league like the XFL with the same setup. They’ll play the bills twice every year.

Back to the Charging Rams: The new team will have to get under salary cap, so here come some cuts to their spending. The rule is a they can either cut anyone without it turning to dead cap – goodbye Jared Goff but won’t get compensatory picks or they can turn it to dead cap and receive compensatory picks. Here’s their roster:

QB: Need

RB: Austin Ekeler

Wr: Cooper Kupp, Josh Reynolds, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams,

Te: Hunter Henry

OT: Andrew Whitworth, Rob Havenstein

OG: Bryan Baluga, Trai Turner

C: Mike Pouncey

DL: Aaron Donald, Micheal Brockers, Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram

LB: Need

CB: Jaylen Ramsey, Chris Harris Jr. Casey Hayward Jr. Desmond King

S: John Johnson 3, Derwin James

Adios: Jared Goff, Brandin Cooks,

This team needs a to trade everything for joe burrow in the draft, they also need a linebacker of some kind, because they can play 4-3 nickel and dime every play with the quality of their secondary, so trade for a Pass Rushing Linebacker – I’d say for someone like von Miller, that would allow a safety to drop in the box and Either Melvin Ingram to drop in coverage or your team to rush five with Donald, Miller, Ingram, bosa (four all pro rushers) and Micheal Brockers. Don’t think miller is a realistic trade? Jared Goff, Brandin Cooks and à few picks and Denver would take that all day.

So the league has changed and a great team has been formed, probably over the cap filling Roster spots and drafting joe burrow, but they’ll pay that tax so they can win the Super Bowl, which with 7-9 pro bowl caliber players on defense (3 hall of fame locks), and 4-6 pro bowl caliber players on offense (1 hall of fame lock) that’s a super bowl winner if I’ve ever seen one.

How to be more likeable

1. What is one way to be likeable? Ask open ended questions.

2. Don’t block the other person or put up a barrier between you with objects, if you’re holding something bring it to your side.

3. Be completely honest to the other person and genuine with who you are. Honesty is the most important thing you can have, cherish it.

4. Completely non-judgmental; you don’t know the struffles that person is dealing with, so don’t act like you can judge why they did what they did. Recognize that you’d do the same thing if you were them.

5. Dont attention seek. Do you like this article?

6. Focus your attention completely on the other person. That means active listening and responding.

7. Praise the help of others – thanks to my mom for editing an article of mine once.

8. Good body language – strong eye contact between eyes and forehead. Open body language, shoulders back, lean in toward person

9. Strong first impression – good posture, strong eye contact, firm handshake, smile, open shoulders

10. Reader, say the other persons name, Reader, as much as possible, Reader, because, Reader, it keeps the Reader invested, Reader… okay maybe not that much but still quite a bit Reader.

11. 🙂 An occasional smile is good, maybe at the start of a conversation. Too much is bad, don’t smile too much.

12. Show venerability occasionally through stories. For example; talk about that embarrassing time your mom walked in on you having sex with your neighbor Emma and it scared you so much it ruined your orgasm all over her left shin, and you had blue balls for a few days all because your mom doesn’t know how to knock. Ugh

13. Touch the person – I don’t mean creepily touch their knee as you walk past, that’s a sexual harassment charge. I mean a high five/fist bump. A handshake. A shoulder touch/arm touch/hug. Then check how they respond, if it’s bad then don’t touch them again.

14. Do stuff you like and enthusiastically talk about stuff you like, for example If you like buying hookers you could talk about buying hookers, the thrill of breaking the law as you break her… okay, maybe not that, but talk about topics you’re passionate about, and if people respond positively then continue, if not then drop it.

That’s it, 14 ways to be more likeable

How hitler could’ve won ww2

Alternate history is a great thing, it lets us explore possible alternative scenarios. In this one “How hitler could’ve won ww2” Using hindsight of course.

1. An agressive Germany at Dunkirk – Germany presses their tanks immediately on Dunkirk and captures it, surrounding hundreds of thousands of allied troops and destroying moral.

2. Opération Félix – one of the biggest thorns in the side of the German war machine was the British stronghold at Gibraltar. In this timeline after defeating the French in 1940 Germany invaded a weakened Spain and Portugal to capture Gibraltar. This cuts down the British naval power in the Mediterranean and strengthens the Italian naval power, allowing it to compete with the British.

3. Operation herkules in late 1940 – With a stronger Italian fleet the invasion of Malta becomes possible and happens, it costs a good amount of resources but provides tremendous benefit in weakening British naval power further in the Mediterranean. This also adds a better supply line to one Erwin Rommel in North Africa and that will come into play later.

4. An early German intervention in Greece late 1940 – At the same time as the capture of Malta, Germany joins the Italian campaign from the start and earlier on than in our timeline. The campaign goes very swiftly and Greece is captured in less than a month.

5. An Italian focus on quality of the units not the quantity of the units. Italy in our timeline was badly supplied but still attempted to create 100 divisions. This was bad. The focus should’ve been on the quality of units, so the number is getting cut down to 25% of the number in our timeline and their focus is going to be working on the next point

6. A combined German-Italian effort to capture Northern Africa in late 1940/early 1941 – Higher quality Italian troops and more numerous German troops marching to the Suez with actual supplies? They capture the Suez and all allied territory in Arabia. They still are at peace with turkey. Numerous British and French ships that don’t escape in time are captured and surrender to the Germans. This gives credence to the next point.

7. It’s around March 1941 at this point and after capturing Arabia and with a stronger navy the new axis navy goes on the offensive against the British. They take the initiative and are competitive against the British, although they still can’t gain naval supremacy so operation sea lion is off the table.

8. March 1941 – the Germans invade the soviets like normal except for two major differences: 1. They send any extra troops to Norway to capture the port of Murmansk and Leningrad earlier on. Due to how early on it is and how unprepared the soviets are for the German advance, the Germans manage to capture Leningrad and hold it 2. The extra troops not tied up in Greece are sent south with the southern front. This is the main German spearhead, everything else is secondary.

9. The Germans focus all of their efforts on reaching the Soviet caucuses, they play mostly defensive at operation north and center compared to what they did in our timeline, and by the time winter rolls around, while a lot less progress is made in the north (except for the far north from Norway) and the center, they’ve already captured the oil fields and Stalingrad in the south.

10. They don’t declare war on the United States, in 1941 leaving the Japanese to their own devices, this keeps the US out of the war in Europe until it’s too late.

11. Épilogue À – with the oil fields Germany pushes north and captures Moscow in late 1942, and this convinces the axis and allies to sign a peace treaty. Iberia is united under a fascist government, North Africa is given to Italy, Arabia is made a puppet by Germany after oil is discovered. The Mediterranean islands are divided between Italy and Iberia. Vichy France is made a permanent fascist puppet state and Norway and Denmark are absorbed into Germany. Besides Germany Italy is another great axis power and expands into Africa a bit more after the conclusion of the war, eventually breaking off from Germany forming an alliance with other former German puppets like Iberia, Yugoslavia, Romania and Bulgaria.

12. Epilogue B. Stalin retreats to the Ural Mountains, but continues the fight, and it takes four more years of fighting until a peace is signed in late 1946. Everything west of the Ural Mountains are considered in the German sphere of influence. Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic’s, Belarus, Lithuania The caucuses and a Russian Puppet government are all released as German puppet states and Finland is given a lot of territory in the north. Germany is a major winner. The Soviets consolidate their losses and have a very experienced army at this point. They will invade Iran after the war to strengthen their position against Germany.

13. Épilogue C – the USA focuses all of her war machine on Japan, and conquers it a lot earlier than in our timeline. Operation downfall happens in 1943 and the nuclear bombs are never field tested. The USA also captures all of Korea and manchuko from the Japanese , and all the islands in the pacific. Places like Australia, Canada and South Africa fall into the American sphere of influence. The USA is the strongest country after the war, the only country with nuclear weapons in 1950 and the only military/civilian populace that was untouched after ww2.

14. Épilogue D – The UK becomes communist after the ww2 loss and the loss of the colonies, especially India although they are their own brand of communism they are isolated and aligned with the us.

15. Épilogue E – China still becomes communist, and is much more aligned with Stalin due to the German threat than in our timeline. They don’t have manchuko or Taiwan (who are both in the American sphere).

16. Épilogue F – India is now a major player on the world stage, due to support from Germany they invaded and conquered all of Southeast Asia and repealed the Japanese and control everything not apart of China, they are trying to break away from German control and contend with communist influence from the soviets and the Chinese.

That’s everything, this is how I see the world:

Germany/the northern axis and The United States/this worlds version of nato are the two major superpowers

There’s also Italy/the southern axis and the Soviet/The Warsaw Pact with China (who are weakened from war) as the other two superpowers.

What to do with your $1,200 stimulus check

Let me preface this by saying I’m not a financial expert, just a guy with a hobby and a blog who has an opinion, so treat me as such.

So you’re getting a $1,200 stimulus check and don’t need to spend it on anything significant, where should you invest it?

the simple answer is open an Ira account and invest it in there, but this pandemic is bad, so you probably want some more flexibility right?

Instead you should open up an account on http://refer.varomoney.com/FpJVt varo with $200 or more and you’ll get an additional $75 back. Put the money in the savings account to get 2% interest and have the flexibility to withdraw it at any time.